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Genesis – Seven Stones Lyrics 15 years ago
A tinker is a Traveler, specifically one from Scotland or Ireland. You are correct, the song is about Chance and how the Charecters in the story live by chance and unkwnowling avoid trouble. In the first verse the traveler is caught within a storm and hides beneath a tree. However, the 7th house refers to the 7th house of astronomy, not the 7th house down the street from his house. Im not going to get in the details of astronomy and what the 7th house means, but I believe it means the skys have cleared and the storm has ended through basicly no actions of the traveler.
The old man is not the person actually expiriencing these events he is merely telling the tale. The second verse is very simple, The captain sees a bird and decides to follow it and once again unknowingly avoids catastrophe.

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