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Yellowcard – Sure Thing Falling Lyrics 15 years ago
A little late with my interpretation, but I just wanted to add this.

I think the ending is the key to the song. The whole song is, like the title suggests, having a sure thing fall apart. The "I've been up late writing books" I think refers to just life as a book, and with each day you write a new chapter. The heroes and crooks refer to the types of events that either help or hurt the realization of your dreams.

"All of the places I looked...pictures I took" refers to all the dreams you've had. Everything you plan for your life, the stages are the "pictures" and the one that is "here with me now" refers to looking in the mirror, the picture of who you are today. It's when you look in the mirror that you realize that you are who you are, and all of those dreams and expectations you had, all of those "sure things", may not have been as sure as you once thought.

The other parts of the song I think, like others have said, tell his story of a girl that is with someone else, and he is writing how her decision will add a chapter to his own book. If she leaves the guy for him, he'll write a chapter about a hero, but if she stays with the other guy, he'll write about the crook who took away his "sure thing," one more picture thrown away.

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